Without analyzing all this and clicking through the links, I'll just say this. Buffalo, NY hit 90° F today. There have been numerous days like that here in recent weeks. Having graduated from college in Buffalo in the mid 1980s, and moving away for 30+ years, I can tell you that NEVER happened. The winter was absurdly warm as well. Two winters ago, we got hammered, but it wasn't like the infamous winter of 1977. It was because Lake Erie never completely froze over as it should. Yeah, I do my research and writing, too, but direct experience hammers it home. 1.5C is dead. Things are deteriorating far faster than predicted.
It's already dystopian in the US even without the rapidly degrading climate breakdown, but we drown ourselves in toxic positivity and consumer comforts. Nobody wants to hear this kind of stuff, because that would make it real. The populace are frogs in the pot, not even feeling the heat as it slowly increases. Politics has found a way to solve the issue. Just write laws where you can't mention it, and cut checks from nothing to YOU paying for the damage.
It is bizarre to me that the only acceptable mention of the Climate Crisis in the election, has been either denial or boasting about how much you've done.
Nothing about the reality of the threat or its Magnitude.
Nothing about how little time there truly is left.
There is definitely a STRONG "don't spook the herd" vibe going on right now.
Those in power will hide the truth for as long as they can, or are still living in a fantasy that technology always solves everything. Also, there is an argument for having most of us dead. https://geoffreydeihl.substack.com/p/circumstantial-evidence
(CR040) - What if I told you there was a way to pull enough CO2 out of the atmosphere to cool the planet down over the next century. How many lives would you be willing to sacrifice to save the FUTURE? - On Reforestation.
(CR-020) – It’s not “crazy” to think that people who have access to privileged information will generally not tell you all they know. It happens all the time.
We are all bullet-proof adolescents who exclaim, "It'll never happen to us." Or, we believe technology will save us. Or, God will save us. Or, "It's such a long way in the future I'm not going to think about it now." Or, "Why I remember that in the 40s we had droughts!" Or, "It's all part of a cover up to scare and control us just you wait and see." Or, "What? You are such a catastrophist and should be ashamed of yourself."
Thank you Richard...I know you are not fucking kidding and because I had the great good fortune to come across your work on Twitter (I think Jack Lowe mentioned you and somehow I found you on Substack) I am pretty much fucking ready...Time seems now to have dilated so very much for me...This last month felt like it would never end...Lots of time to savor the sweet sound of crickets, the sound of rain in the middle of the night, and lots of time to grieve all that we are and will be losing...
I think instead of a science email, How about this is what it will be like to live in this temperature. Everyone goes wetbulb! Wetbulb, Yes I know that, What is going to happen to the world when we hit those events daily. What is going to break down, and what us, the common people are going to face
WITH an Antarctic heatwave! Temperatures are some 24C above average in northern Antarctica at the moment in what should be the height of winter. Surface 2M air temperatures in the southern hemisphere are the warmest in recorded history at the moment for the time of year
(CR - 048) - Understanding the Global Climate System isn't as hard as you think. We have most of the pieces to "SEE" it clearly now.
The amount of ENERGY the Arctic receives from the Sun each year doesn't change. It's a CONSTANT based on the axial tilt of the Earth in relationship to the Sun.
So,
If the Arctic sea ice is SHRINKING, it means that the amount of HEAT ENERGY arriving from the Equator is INCREASING. Indicating that the Earth is WARMING.
If the Arctic sea ice is GROWING, it means that the amount of HEAT ENERGY arriving from the Equator is DECLINING. Indicating that the Earth is COOLING.
The Arctic sea ice is the “end point” of the Global Climate System. HEAT from the Sun starts at the Equator and, at the end of the complex workings of our climate system, what's left reaches the Arctic.
During the dark Winter months a lot of this heat energy will bleed away into space. If MORE heat is lost than arrives, the Earth is cooling and sea ice will form and grow. If LESS heat is lost than arrives, the Earth is warming and sea ice will melt and shrink.
The Arctic Sea Ice is the “Temperature Gauge” of the Earth.
Dane Wigington states independent temp measurements say we have ALREADY passed 3.5 degrees. He also says "they" are trying to keep in power til the last minute of the dive off the cliff. IMO, this is why there are so many articles about how the collapse is far off in the future. Articles like this one.
I'm basically saying that the Climate Crisis is here and that Collapse has started. Until recently, when my predictions started being correct, I was regarded as "fringe" at best.
We have NOT passed +3.5°C of warming perhaps that's Fahrenheit?
In which case, he is saying we have passed +2°C of warming. That is probably true.
Without analyzing all this and clicking through the links, I'll just say this. Buffalo, NY hit 90° F today. There have been numerous days like that here in recent weeks. Having graduated from college in Buffalo in the mid 1980s, and moving away for 30+ years, I can tell you that NEVER happened. The winter was absurdly warm as well. Two winters ago, we got hammered, but it wasn't like the infamous winter of 1977. It was because Lake Erie never completely froze over as it should. Yeah, I do my research and writing, too, but direct experience hammers it home. 1.5C is dead. Things are deteriorating far faster than predicted.
It's already dystopian in the US even without the rapidly degrading climate breakdown, but we drown ourselves in toxic positivity and consumer comforts. Nobody wants to hear this kind of stuff, because that would make it real. The populace are frogs in the pot, not even feeling the heat as it slowly increases. Politics has found a way to solve the issue. Just write laws where you can't mention it, and cut checks from nothing to YOU paying for the damage.
Hypernormalization.
It is bizarre to me that the only acceptable mention of the Climate Crisis in the election, has been either denial or boasting about how much you've done.
Nothing about the reality of the threat or its Magnitude.
Nothing about how little time there truly is left.
There is definitely a STRONG "don't spook the herd" vibe going on right now.
BTW, you and your readers might want to check this out. https://www.thetimes.com/uk/environment/article/our-final-warning-six-degrees-of-climate-emergency-by-mark-lynas-review-w8p6nwmqx
Access for subscribers only.
Those in power will hide the truth for as long as they can, or are still living in a fantasy that technology always solves everything. Also, there is an argument for having most of us dead. https://geoffreydeihl.substack.com/p/circumstantial-evidence
We are not so very far apart in our thinking.
(CR040) - What if I told you there was a way to pull enough CO2 out of the atmosphere to cool the planet down over the next century. How many lives would you be willing to sacrifice to save the FUTURE? - On Reforestation.
https://richardcrim.substack.com/p/the-crisis-report-40
And
(CR-020) – It’s not “crazy” to think that people who have access to privileged information will generally not tell you all they know. It happens all the time.
https://richardcrim.substack.com/p/the-crisis-report-20
Thank you, I look forward to reading these after I finish an article I'm buried on. There's no keeping up with this insanity.
We are all bullet-proof adolescents who exclaim, "It'll never happen to us." Or, we believe technology will save us. Or, God will save us. Or, "It's such a long way in the future I'm not going to think about it now." Or, "Why I remember that in the 40s we had droughts!" Or, "It's all part of a cover up to scare and control us just you wait and see." Or, "What? You are such a catastrophist and should be ashamed of yourself."
Thank you Richard...I know you are not fucking kidding and because I had the great good fortune to come across your work on Twitter (I think Jack Lowe mentioned you and somehow I found you on Substack) I am pretty much fucking ready...Time seems now to have dilated so very much for me...This last month felt like it would never end...Lots of time to savor the sweet sound of crickets, the sound of rain in the middle of the night, and lots of time to grieve all that we are and will be losing...
I think instead of a science email, How about this is what it will be like to live in this temperature. Everyone goes wetbulb! Wetbulb, Yes I know that, What is going to happen to the world when we hit those events daily. What is going to break down, and what us, the common people are going to face
Did you see there?
Zack Labe Aug 1 https://zacklabe.com/global-sea-ice-extent-conc/
note the ice collapse 2023/2024
see southern hemisphere Antarctica
Antarctic sea-ice extent is currently at 5.52 standard deviations below the 1991-2020 daily mean.
Or, more simply, there is about 2,030,000 km² less sea-ice than usual for this time of year.
https://xcancel.com/EliotJacobson/status/1817533501518049638#m
WITH an Antarctic heatwave! Temperatures are some 24C above average in northern Antarctica at the moment in what should be the height of winter. Surface 2M air temperatures in the southern hemisphere are the warmest in recorded history at the moment for the time of year
https://xcancel.com/Met4CastUK/status/1817927106149400666#m
the latest climate change indicators...
https://xcancel.com/ZLabe/status/1818612249889751248#m
The more central region of the North Atlantic now shows the highest anomaly to date.
https://xcancel.com/LeonSimons8/status/1818717191673725344#m
https://kouya.has.arizona.edu/tropics/SSTmonitoring.html
These are the North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies, with the past 4.5 years highlighted.
https://xcancel.com/LeonSimons8/status/1818696862804664427#m
(CR - 048) - Understanding the Global Climate System isn't as hard as you think. We have most of the pieces to "SEE" it clearly now.
The amount of ENERGY the Arctic receives from the Sun each year doesn't change. It's a CONSTANT based on the axial tilt of the Earth in relationship to the Sun.
So,
If the Arctic sea ice is SHRINKING, it means that the amount of HEAT ENERGY arriving from the Equator is INCREASING. Indicating that the Earth is WARMING.
If the Arctic sea ice is GROWING, it means that the amount of HEAT ENERGY arriving from the Equator is DECLINING. Indicating that the Earth is COOLING.
The Arctic sea ice is the “end point” of the Global Climate System. HEAT from the Sun starts at the Equator and, at the end of the complex workings of our climate system, what's left reaches the Arctic.
During the dark Winter months a lot of this heat energy will bleed away into space. If MORE heat is lost than arrives, the Earth is cooling and sea ice will form and grow. If LESS heat is lost than arrives, the Earth is warming and sea ice will melt and shrink.
The Arctic Sea Ice is the “Temperature Gauge” of the Earth.
Dane Wigington states independent temp measurements say we have ALREADY passed 3.5 degrees. He also says "they" are trying to keep in power til the last minute of the dive off the cliff. IMO, this is why there are so many articles about how the collapse is far off in the future. Articles like this one.
"Collapse is far off in the future".
Ummm...have you read my stuff?
I'm basically saying that the Climate Crisis is here and that Collapse has started. Until recently, when my predictions started being correct, I was regarded as "fringe" at best.
We have NOT passed +3.5°C of warming perhaps that's Fahrenheit?
In which case, he is saying we have passed +2°C of warming. That is probably true.
I skimmed this article and that will be it for me as far as "your work". And Dane has said many times we have passed 3.5 C. C not F.