Richard, excellent articles. I followed you here from reddit, right now I'm going through your old analysis. You are being exceptionally inspirational, thank you for your work.
Some disagreement and questions about this one, regarding geoengineering. How would the US weaponize the albedo enhancement? Once you inject the sulfur dioxide gas into the stratosphere, it flows all over the planet with no human navigation, isn't it? So how are we fighting over control of the global thermostat, when in reality no one controls it at all? Or do you mean the US would do something with the cloud like they did back in Vietnam? But that was not geoengineering.
My take on geoengineering is controversial, I find many collapseniks disagree with me. I think an important factor is left out in geoengineering disscussions: economic collapse. Right now, to even hold on to the current economic status, the world relies on debt. Every dollar that's been made is associated with 3 dollars of debt, it's in full runaway mode. To lauch such projects to dim the planet, takes a big chunk of the world's GDP, and this effort has nothing to gain for the shareholders. Once the financial crash occurs (it will soon), all nations will find themselves in ruins, the remaining energy and resources will be primarily spent on essentials like food production, or easing social chaos, or wars.
That is also linked to political collapse. I do not see any way that the US government could hold on another 10 or 15 years. Can we lanuch geoengineering without a sufficiently running government? I highly doubt it. And China, it might become a horrendously authoritarian state, much worse than today(I'm from China). Or it could just easily break apart as well. But I fail to see any sencario where humanity can do geoengineering.
In my opnion, geoengineering would always remain on "paper". Perhaps there will be some negotiations, some pilot projects, some testings and so on, but I fail to see a possibility that we could do geoengineering on a scale that actually makes a difference in climate, whether it's good or bad difference. Because the required financial and political power won't exist.
Richard, excellent articles. I followed you here from reddit, right now I'm going through your old analysis. You are being exceptionally inspirational, thank you for your work.
Some disagreement and questions about this one, regarding geoengineering. How would the US weaponize the albedo enhancement? Once you inject the sulfur dioxide gas into the stratosphere, it flows all over the planet with no human navigation, isn't it? So how are we fighting over control of the global thermostat, when in reality no one controls it at all? Or do you mean the US would do something with the cloud like they did back in Vietnam? But that was not geoengineering.
My take on geoengineering is controversial, I find many collapseniks disagree with me. I think an important factor is left out in geoengineering disscussions: economic collapse. Right now, to even hold on to the current economic status, the world relies on debt. Every dollar that's been made is associated with 3 dollars of debt, it's in full runaway mode. To lauch such projects to dim the planet, takes a big chunk of the world's GDP, and this effort has nothing to gain for the shareholders. Once the financial crash occurs (it will soon), all nations will find themselves in ruins, the remaining energy and resources will be primarily spent on essentials like food production, or easing social chaos, or wars.
That is also linked to political collapse. I do not see any way that the US government could hold on another 10 or 15 years. Can we lanuch geoengineering without a sufficiently running government? I highly doubt it. And China, it might become a horrendously authoritarian state, much worse than today(I'm from China). Or it could just easily break apart as well. But I fail to see any sencario where humanity can do geoengineering.
In my opnion, geoengineering would always remain on "paper". Perhaps there will be some negotiations, some pilot projects, some testings and so on, but I fail to see a possibility that we could do geoengineering on a scale that actually makes a difference in climate, whether it's good or bad difference. Because the required financial and political power won't exist.